時間序列資料變動點估計方法的探討

dc.contributor蔡碧紋zh_TW
dc.contributorTsai, Pi-Wenen_US
dc.contributor.author蔡念庭zh_TW
dc.contributor.authorTsai, Nien-Tingen_US
dc.date.accessioned2023-12-08T07:56:00Z
dc.date.available2027-08-16
dc.date.available2023-12-08T07:56:00Z
dc.date.issued2022
dc.description.abstract當序列發生統計特性變化時,則會存在變動點。變動點檢測可用於估計序列中單個或多個變動點的位置與其資料的統計特性。本文討論在時間序列AR(1)資料下,使用Pruned Exact Linear Time(PELT)及結構變化模型(structural change model)方法找變動點。以模擬方式比較兩種不同方法在單個及多個變動點情況下,變動點檢測的結果及在不同評估準則的優劣,並且將兩種方法應用於美國COVID-19實際資料。zh_TW
dc.description.abstractChangepoints occur at where statistical properties of the data change. Changepoint detection is able to estimate single or multiple changepoints in the series. In this thesis, we consider the change point detection problem for AR(1) time series data. Pruned Exact Linear Time(PELT)and structural change model methods are used to find the location of the change points. Some simulation studies are done and several criteria are used to compare the results. Additionally, an application to the United States COVID-19 data is presented.en_US
dc.description.sponsorship數學系zh_TW
dc.identifier60940030S-41861
dc.identifier.urihttps://etds.lib.ntnu.edu.tw/thesis/detail/9ca121d689daeca5318af3b43298125c/
dc.identifier.urihttp://rportal.lib.ntnu.edu.tw/handle/20.500.12235/121108
dc.language中文
dc.subject變動點檢測zh_TW
dc.subject結構變化模型zh_TW
dc.subjectPruned Exact Linear Timezh_TW
dc.subjectChangepoint Detectionen_US
dc.subjectPruned Exact Linear Timeen_US
dc.subjectStructural Change Modelen_US
dc.title時間序列資料變動點估計方法的探討zh_TW
dc.titleA Study of Change Points Analysis for Time Series Dataen_US
dc.typeetd

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