2008年亞洲男子盃排球錦標賽比賽得分技術與成績關聯研究

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2009

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本研究係以2008年亞洲男子盃排球錦標賽「中華台北、伊朗、韓國、中國大陸、日本、澳洲、泰國、印尼、」共八隊的所有對戰場次(共計48場180局),之四項得分技術(扣球得分、攔網得分、發球得分、對方失誤得分)對比賽勝率之影響。本研究應用灰色系統理論(Grey System Theory)之關聯分析法(Grey Relational Analysis),以比賽勝率為參考函數、四項得分技術為比較函數,加以探討四項得分技術與比賽勝率間關聯程度,本研究所得結果如下所述: 一、參賽隊伍四項得分技術單局平均得分其排序如下所述: (一)扣球得分技術:以韓國隊13.42分最高,其次為日本隊13.21分、印尼隊 12.60分、泰國隊12.26分、中華台北隊11.82分、澳洲隊 11.50分、伊朗隊11.38分、中國隊10.74分。 (二)攔網得分技術:以澳洲隊4.82分最高、其次為伊朗隊4.29分、中國隊3.52 分、韓國隊與日本隊各為3.17分、中華台北隊2.36分、 印尼隊2.27分、泰國隊1.84分。 (三)發球得分技術:以韓國隊1.13分為最高、其次為澳洲隊1.09分、伊朗隊 1.08分、中國隊0.96分、中華台北隊與日本隊皆為0.5分、 泰國隊0.58分、印尼隊0.36分。 (四)對方失誤得分技術:以印尼隊6.64分為最高、其次為韓國隊5.88分、泰國 隊5.74分、中國隊5.70分、伊朗隊5.42分、日本隊 5.33分、中華台北隊5.27分、澳洲隊5.05。 二、經研究結果後得知影響2008年亞洲男子盃排球錦標賽之比賽成績表現大小 順序為,分別為扣球得分(r1=0.88)、對方失誤得分(r4=0.84)、攔網得分(r2=0.81)、發球得分(r3=0.72)。 三、經由研究結果得知,中華台北隊在此次賽事中,對方失誤得分、攔網得分與 發球得分技術皆未能有效發揮,因此在未來備戰其他國際賽事之實務訓練中 應積極強化以上三項技術,以期藉由技術水準的增進,以提升中華台北隊排 球競技水準,藉以爭取更佳成績。 關鍵詞:亞洲男子盃、排球、得分技術。
The purpose of this study is to analyze the correlations of scoring factors (spike, block, serve and opponent error) and match results by all the matches of 8 teams (Chinese Taipei, Iran, South-Korea, China, Japan, Australia, Thailand, Indonesia) in 2008 Asian Men’s Cup Volleyball Championship. Taking winning percentage as reference functions and scoring factors as comparable functions, this study is to apply the approach of Grey Relational Analysis in Grey System Theory, and the results are as follows: 1. The ranking of the average of all the teams in scoring factors are: A. Spike: South-Korea (13.42), Japan (13.21), Indonesia (12.60), Thailand (12.26), Chinese Taipei (11.82), Australia (11.50), Iran (11.38), China (10.74). B. Block: Australia (4.82), Iran (4.29), China (3.52), South-Korea and Japan (3.17), Chinese Taipei (2.36), Indonesia (2.27), Thailand (1.84). C. Serve: South-Korea (1.13), Australia (1.09), Iran (1.08), China (0.96), Chinese Taipei and Japan (0.5), Thailand (0.58), Indonesia (0.36). D. Opponent Error: Indonesia (6.64), South-Korea (5.88), Thailand (5.74), Chinese Taipei (5.70), Iran (5.42), Japan (5.33), Chinese Taipei (5.27), Australia (5.05). 2. The correlations between scoring factors and match results can be found by Grey Relational Analysis. The ranking of scoring factors that influence match results of 2008 Asian Men’s Cup Volleyball Championship are: spike (r1=0.88), Opponent Error (r4=0.84), block (r2=0.81) and serve (r3=0.72). 3. From this analysis, a certain result is found that Chinese Taipei is weak at Opponent Error, Block and Serve skill; which are strongly recommended to strengthen in practices for Chinese Taipei to win/keep the medal in the future. Keywords: Asian Men’s Cup, Volleyball, Scoring Skill.

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亞洲男子盃, 排球, 得分技術, Asian Men’s Cup, Volleyball, Scoring Skill

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