2006年杜哈亞運中華台北女子排球隊比賽得分因素與成績關聯研究
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2008
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Abstract
本研究目的探討2006年杜哈亞洲運動會中華台北女子排球隊所有對戰場次（共計6場、22局）其比賽勝率為參考函數，四項得分因素(扣球得分、攔網得分、發球得分、對方失誤得分)為比較函數，其研究資料依據大會（Volleyball Information System）技術小組所統計之比賽數據，進行灰色關聯分析(Grey Relational Analysis) ，加以探討四項得分因素與比賽勝率(Winning Percentage) 間之關聯程度，所得結果如下：
一、中華台北女排所有對戰場次四項得分因素，單局平均由高至低排序為：(一)扣球得分因素總得分為300分、單局平均得分為12.05分；(二)對方失誤得分因素總得分為116分、單局平均得分為5.95分；(三)攔網得分因素總得分為17分、單局平均得分為1.95分；(四)發球得分因素總得分為35分、單局平均得分為0.88分。
二、經灰色關聯分析後得知，影響2006年杜哈亞運中華台北女子排球隊其四項得分因素與比賽勝率間關聯程度，依高低順序為扣球得分最高(r1＝0.86)，其次為對方失誤得分
(r4＝0.83)及攔網得分(r2＝0.73)與發球得分(r3＝0.57)。
經由研究結果得知，中華台北女子排球隊於所有對戰場次其四項得分因素與勝率間皆達 r＞0.5以上之相關程度，但在得分率較少的攔網與發球得分因素上，應於未來實務訓練中，加強選手攔網與發球這兩項技術其破壞率與威脅能力，提升我方於此兩項技術的有效性與得分率，若能於平日訓練中落實中華台北女子排球隊朝全面性技術平衡發展，藉以彌補先天條件上之差異，使其進入亞洲前三強之列後，更朝向立足亞洲女子排壇坐二望一與前進世界盃賽方向作努力。
The purpose of this study is to explore the relationship between scoring factors and match results that Chinese Taipei Women’s Volleyball Team undergoes in Asian Game Doha 2006. In this study, the winning percentage of Chinese Taipei Women’s Volleyball Team in six games is taken as reference functions, and scoring factors (Spike, Block, Serve and Opponent error), as comparable functions. And the results go as follows: 1. The proper order of scoring factors of Chinese Taipei Women’s Volleyball Team are: A. Spike: the total score is (300); and the average scores, (12.82). B. Opponent Error: the total score is (116); and the average scores, (5.12). C. Block: the total score is (54); and the average scores, (2.26). D. Serve: the total score is (17); and the average scores, (0.69). 2. The correlations between scoring factors and match results can be found by applying Grey Relational Analysis. The proper orders of scoring factors that influence match results of Chinese Taipei Women’s Volleyball Team in Asian Game Doha 2006 are: spike (r1＝0.86), opponent (r4＝0.83), block (r2＝0.73), serve (r3＝0.57). By this study, it is easy to find that Block and Serve don’t make high scores in the scoring factors so that it will become necessary to improve related training program in these two techniques.
The purpose of this study is to explore the relationship between scoring factors and match results that Chinese Taipei Women’s Volleyball Team undergoes in Asian Game Doha 2006. In this study, the winning percentage of Chinese Taipei Women’s Volleyball Team in six games is taken as reference functions, and scoring factors (Spike, Block, Serve and Opponent error), as comparable functions. And the results go as follows: 1. The proper order of scoring factors of Chinese Taipei Women’s Volleyball Team are: A. Spike: the total score is (300); and the average scores, (12.82). B. Opponent Error: the total score is (116); and the average scores, (5.12). C. Block: the total score is (54); and the average scores, (2.26). D. Serve: the total score is (17); and the average scores, (0.69). 2. The correlations between scoring factors and match results can be found by applying Grey Relational Analysis. The proper orders of scoring factors that influence match results of Chinese Taipei Women’s Volleyball Team in Asian Game Doha 2006 are: spike (r1＝0.86), opponent (r4＝0.83), block (r2＝0.73), serve (r3＝0.57). By this study, it is easy to find that Block and Serve don’t make high scores in the scoring factors so that it will become necessary to improve related training program in these two techniques.
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排球, 灰色關聯分析, Volleyball, Grey Relational Analysis