碳交易：文獻計量分析

Abstract

本研究針對碳交易領域的文獻進行系統性的計量分析，目的在評估碳交易的有效性及其對減排目標的影響。研究的主要目的是通過量化文獻的發表趨勢、分析主要研究者及其合作網絡、探討關鍵字的共現情況，以及評估文獻引用情況，從而全面了解碳交易的研究現狀和發展動態。研究結果顯示，碳交易相關文獻在過去20多年中顯著增長，尤其是在最近幾年，這一增長趨勢反映碳交易在全球環境政策和經濟學研究中的重要性日益增加。具體而言，從2001年京都議定書的簽署開始，碳交易的研究逐漸受到學術界的重視，文獻數量從最初的幾篇逐年增加，這一增長不僅顯示研究熱度的提升，也反映碳交易作為應對氣候變化的重要工具的地位。 在文獻計量分析中，使用VOSviewer和SciMat兩個軟體對861篇文獻進行深入分析。研究首先考察作者之間的合作網絡，發現一些高影響力的作者在碳交易研究中扮演關鍵角色。這些作者的合作模式顯示出明顯的集群效應，表明在碳交易研究中，跨學科的合作日益增多，尤其是在環境科學、經濟學和管理學等領域的交叉研究。此外，研究還分析關鍵字的共現情況，識別出碳交易研究中的主要主題及其演變過程。結果顯示隨著碳交易政策的推進，研究重點逐漸從初期的政策設計和實施效果轉向對碳市場運作機制、碳定價及其對經濟影響的深入探討。這一變化反映學術界對碳交易實踐的關注日益加深，並促進相關理論的發展。在文獻引用的評估中，研究發現某些文獻對碳交易領域的發展具有顯著影響，這些文獻不僅為後續研究提供理論基礎，也為政策制定者提供實證支持。這些高被引文獻的分析有助於識別碳交易研究中的關鍵熱點和前沿問題，並為未來的研究方向提供指導。This study conducts a systematic quantitative analysis of the literature in the field of carbon trading, with the purpose of evaluating the effectiveness of carbon trading and its impact on emission reduction targets. The main purpose of the study is to comprehensively understand the research status and development trends of carbon trading by quantifying the publication trends of literature, analyzing the main researchers and their collaboration networks, exploring the co-occurrence of keywords, and evaluating the citations of the literature. The research results show that the literature related to carbon trading has grown significantly over the past 20 years, especially in recent years. This growth trend reflects the increasing importance of carbon trading in global environmental policy and economics research. Specifically, since the signing of the Kyoto Protocol in 2001, the research on carbon trading has gradually attracted academic attention, and the number of documents has increased year by year from the initial few. This growth not only shows the increase in research interest, but also reflects the role of carbon trading as an important tool in the fight against climate change.In the bibliometric analysis, VOSviewer and SciMat were used to conduct an in-depth analysis of 861 documents. The study first examined the collaboration network among authors and found that some highly influential authors played key roles in carbon trading research. The collaboration patterns of these authors show a clear clustering effect, indicating that interdisciplinary collaboration is increasing in carbon trading research, especially in the fields of environmental science, economics, and management. In addition, the study also analyzes the co-occurrence of keywords and identifies the main themes in carbon trading research and their evolution. The results show that with the advancement of carbon trading policies, the research focus has gradually shifted from initial policy design and implementation effects to in-depth discussions on the carbon market operating mechanism, carbon pricing and its impact on the economy. This change reflects the academic community’s increasing attention to carbon trading practices and promotes the development of related theories. In the evaluation of literature citations, the study found that certain documents have a significant impact on the development of the carbon trading field. These documents not only provide a theoretical basis for subsequent research, but also provide empirical support for policymakers. The analysis of these highly cited documents helps identify key hot spots and cutting-edge issues in carbon trading research and provides guidance for future research directions.