黃國義Huang, Kuo-yi黃淑燕Huang, Shu-yen2019-09-052004-7-272019-09-052004http://etds.lib.ntnu.edu.tw/cgi-bin/gs32/gsweb.cgi?o=dstdcdr&s=id=%22N2004000175%22.&%22.id.&http://rportal.lib.ntnu.edu.tw:80/handle/20.500.12235/106044本研究旨在探討我國女子輪椅第五級桌球國手之三段技術指標是否達到及格標準，以及桌球三段技術對得分率是否有預測效果。 本研究以我國女子輪椅第五級國手參加2002年世界殘障桌球錦標賽團體賽賽程為研究範圍，以桌球三段技術分析表為研究工具，所得資料以桌球分段指標評估法來對我國殘障桌球國手的三段技術指標進行分析研究，並以逐步迴歸分析統計法求得桌球三段技術對得分率之預測效果。提供給國內教練作為訓練時的參考依據。依研究結果顯示： 一、我國女子輪椅第五級桌球國手的發球搶攻段之得分率、發球搶攻段之使 用率指標值為「及格」。 二、我國女子輪椅第五級桌球國手的接發球搶攻段之得分率指標值為「優秀」，接發球搶攻段之使用率指標值為「及格」。 三、我國女子輪椅第五級桌球國手的相持段之得分率指標值為「優秀」，相持段之使用率指標值未達及格指標。 四、研究結果顯示，一般選手的三段技術指標，亦適用於殘障輪椅桌球選手。 五、我國女子輪椅第五級桌球國手桌球三段技術的六個變數中，選出最具代表性的項目是相持段之得分率（X5）。 六、桌球三段技術分析可以有效的預測得分率所得之預測方程式如下： 預測得分率之標準化迴歸方程式為 : Ŷ＝0.379Z1＋0.312Z3＋0.401Z5The purpose of this study was to understand the “ Pass Index” in the three-stage skill analysis of Taiwan’s woman wheelchair table tennis class 5 and analyze the relationship and prediction between winning rate and the three-stage skill analysis. The subject of the study was Taiwan’s woman wheelchair table tennis class 5 national players in 2002 Paralympic World Table Tennis Championships. Research tool was three –stage skill analysis table. Phase index evaluation table were utilized for analyzing three –stage skill analysis . Finally, stepwise regression method was used to predict the winnig rate in the three –stage. The results were the following: 1. For Taiwan’s woman wheelchair table tennis class 5 national players, it was “ PASS” in scoring percentage in serve-then-aggress part, using percentage in serve-then-aggress part . 2. It was “ EXCELLENT ” in scoring percentage in receive-then-aggress part. it was “ PASS” in using percentage in receive-then-aggress part. 3. It was “ EXCELLENT ” in scoring percentage in rally part and it was “ NO PASS “ in using percentage in rally part. 4. The studies showed that the three –stage skill analysis of table tennis players is also suited for wheelchair table tennis players. 5. In six variable of the three –stage skill in Taiwan’s woman wheelchair table tennis class 5, the most important items are scoring percentage in rally part（X5）. 6. The three –stage skill analysis can efficiently calculate winning rate. The formula is as below: Ŷ=0.379 X1+0.312X3+0.401X5輪椅桌球女子輪椅第五級桌球國手桌球分段指標評估法wheelchair table tenniswoman wheelchair table tennis class 5 national playersphase index evaluation table